Global payroll and human resources company ADP has projected a potential worldwide productivity loss of up to $17 billion during the FIFA World Cup 2026. The estimate, detailed in ADP’s study titled "Productivity Pitfalls: The Hidden Costs of Sporting Events," suggests that businesses could face significant economic impacts due to increased employee absenteeism and reduced workplace focus as football fans engage with the tournament.

The projection comes ahead of the expanded 2026 tournament, which will feature 48 teams for the first time, playing a total of 104 matches across 16 host cities in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The extended format and geographical reach are factors anticipated to amplify the tournament's effect on global workforces. ADP’s analysis draws on historical data and observed trends during major sporting events, indicating a correlation between significant international competitions and shifts in employee behaviour.

Key details from the report highlight specific areas of concern for employers:

  • Absenteeism: The report indicates a likely increase in unscheduled absences. An ADP Research Institute study conducted during the FIFA World Cup 2022 in Qatar found a 70% surge in unscheduled absences across all industries, suggesting a precedent for future tournaments.
  • Reduced Focus: Even for employees present at work, the report anticipates a dip in concentration and engagement due to real-time match following, discussions, and reaction to game outcomes. This "cyber-loafing" or "presenteeism" contributes to a decline in output.
  • Time Zone Challenges: The widespread locations of the 2026 tournament could lead to matches being played across various time zones, potentially affecting workforce schedules globally through late-night viewing or early morning disruptions.
  • Extended Tournament Duration: With an increased number of matches and teams, the tournament will span a longer period, prolonging the potential period of productivity disruption for businesses.

The report suggests that industries heavily reliant on consistent daily output or real-time customer service could be particularly susceptible to these productivity pitfalls. While the exact impact will vary by region and company, the aggregated $17 billion figure underscores the scale of the potential economic repercussion.

Businesses are being advised to consider proactive strategies to manage the anticipated workforce impact. The report suggests that employers might implement flexible working arrangements, staggered shifts, or establish designated viewing areas to balance employee engagement with operational continuity. Such measures aim to mitigate potential losses while acknowledging the cultural significance and team-building potential that major sporting events can offer.

The FIFA World Cup 2026 is scheduled to run from June 11 to July 19, 2026. As the tournament approaches, companies globally will likely assess the findings of such reports to prepare their workforces and operational plans for the anticipated event.